Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.316414 0.418318 0.530081 0.659843 0.804642 0.959766 1.137109
2025-08-31 0.162198 0.287711 0.443751 0.641974 0.879010 1.146904 1.466793
2025-09-07 0.097736 0.227762 0.406955 0.649233 0.951550 1.303693 1.733937
2025-09-14 0.052332 0.175527 0.367002 0.642528 0.999938 1.427159 1.959045
2025-09-21 0.022677 0.130792 0.325705 0.624866 1.027437 1.519896 2.143020
2025-09-28 0.012668 0.117683 0.328048 0.663810 1.125088 1.696470 2.425658
2025-10-05 0.007137 0.110693 0.338120 0.712311 1.234331 1.886825 2.724591
2025-10-12 0.002883 0.100775 0.340752 0.748591 1.326551 2.055526 2.997109
2025-10-19 0.001353 0.099684 0.358612 0.807135 1.448451 2.261441 3.315028
2025-10-26 0.000228 0.094249 0.366947 0.850617 1.549667 2.441188 3.601068
2025-11-02 NaN 0.079492 0.353893 0.859589 1.602832 2.559462 3.811421
2025-11-09 NaN 0.051997 0.305829 0.809036 1.570981 2.567312 3.884304
2025-11-16 NaN 0.028482 0.255877 0.751987 1.530145 2.566068 3.950579
2025-11-23 NaN 0.016919 0.229854 0.732231 1.540964 2.631316 4.099735
2025-11-30 NaN 0.011581 0.220306 0.740174 1.591134 2.747522 4.312196
2025-12-07 NaN 0.006165 0.203648 0.732945 1.617735 2.831838 4.483988
2025-12-14 NaN 0.002017 0.182356 0.714017 1.625181 2.889540 4.621233
2025-12-21 NaN 0.001840 0.191353 0.755751 1.725452 3.072529 4.918682
2025-12-28 NaN 0.002097 0.205237 0.807626 1.841499 3.277050 5.243930
2026-01-04 NaN 0.001800 0.212715 0.846358 1.937358 3.454365 5.534524
2026-01-11 NaN 0.002483 0.231623 0.908742 2.069869 3.681500 5.889148
2026-01-18 NaN 0.002477 0.242670 0.954991 2.177568 3.875153 6.201063
2026-01-25 NaN 0.001160 0.236036 0.964527 2.228469 3.991835 6.414422